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If I vote for an independent, won’t it increase the risk of a Liberal government?

Answer

Canberra is considered a safe Labor seat because the primary vote for the Liberal party is too low for them to have any real chance of winning the seat. If people vote for an independent, and the independent is successful, they are very unlikely to help the Liberals form government. If the independent is not successful, voters are likely to give their second preference to the party they would normally vote for, so the outcome will just be the same as always.